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What would you do if you had all the time in the world?

LessWrong2026-11-01 00:28:54AI应用,Agent智能体,强化学习,招聘HR原文 ↗

Suppose I tell you that next week three things will happen:

  • A new science paper is published definitively proving that DNN scaling hits heavy diminishing returns at around 2x the current level of compute
  • Major labs are revealed to have faked agentic demos, and agents are shown to have double-digit rates of lying in terms of misrepresenting the impressiveness of their achievements
  • Governments around the world (US and China) announce that they will be taking action to halt or slow down dangerous AI research

In general, the point of this exercise is "imagine that the core problems of AI safety are suspended or slowed down significantly for the foreseeable future" (add whatever items to the list you need to satisfy you on this point). In fact, we can add extra items to address other existential risks:

  • Major action is taken about climate change, many fossil fuel dependent power plants shut down directly with massive new investment in green energy production
  • Biosecurity initiatives report strong results in developing cancer vaccines and general inoculation methods
  • Peace accords are signed between all major world powers, implementing staggered deescalation including significant reductions to nuclear stockpiles and arms control agreements

Now, what would you do? Maybe some of us would dance around the room, or sleep for a week, or eat ice cream.

Then what would you do?



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